Bribed Normalisation: The Reverse Effects

Since mid-August of 2020, Former US President Trump has brokered the normalisation of ties between Israel and a series of Arab nations, with the UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco having forged open and official ties.

From the outward, it may seem as though Israel has the upper hand and is dictating the rules of engagement on its own terms, but this couldn’t be further from the truth – indeed, it is only escaping forward. 

The Zionist settler-colonial expansionist project

When Israel was established in 1948, the Zionists realised they needed to expand in order to survive – they did not tolerate being limited by the borders that were given to them, such that in front of any siege or war, they were not to be threatened or overtaken. This reality manifested itself with the new 1967 borders of Israel, which saw the annexation of the Gaza Strip, the Sinai Peninsula, the West Bank, and the Golan Heights. 

The peak was reached during the 1982 invasion of Lebanon, which saw Israel for the first time attack the heart of an Arab capital – Beirut. Indeed, when Ariel Sharon led the Israeli Army into the heart of Lebanon during the invasion and was asked what the borders of this State signify, he said the borders are wherever their tanks stand. 

Rise of the resistance

With the success of the Islamic Revolution in Iran, in addition to the seed of the resistance movements that grew in Lebanon and Palestine, the balance of powers in the region began to shift gradually; what was considered an ‘undefeatable’ army, that sought to expand ‘from the Nile to the Euphrates’ by time began to deteriorate, culminating in the unilateral withdrawal of Israel from Lebanon in 2000 and Gaza in 2005. 

With this, the central idea of consolidating their presence, as a State that is capable of life began to diminish; they were unable to expand practically on the ground, since the growth of the real resistance movements and the environment of enmity that surrounded Israel created rules of engagements, that increased in favour of the resistance movements, despite what was considered a betrayal through the normalisation tactics with the Arab States, that started at the Camp David Accords (with Egypt), to the Wadi Araba Treaty (with Jordan) and the Oslo Accords (with the PLO itself). 

Failed strategy

In facing this situation, Israel began to substitute its expansion territorially with expansion through penetrating the political sphere, which includes the use of intelligence to conduct security missions, assassination attempts of resistance figures and Iranian scientists, and the increased open normalisation of ties with surrounding Arab states.  

Indeed, this shift from territorial expansion to political interference has demonstrated Israel’s diminishing power; the evidence for this is that all the previous assassination attempts of the Iranian nuclear scientists to stop the nuclear programme, led to more nuclear enrichment and advancements. 

In addition, the normalisation of ties with Arab states has not succeeded; the evidence for this is that after four decades of the historic treaty with Egypt, economic relations between the signatories have been very limited, whilst 85% of Egyptians oppose the diplomatic recognition of Israel. 

The Palestinian Authority themselves, who have on many levels compromised with Israel, cannot see eye to eye with America’s plans – from the Deal of Century to brokering the open normalisation of ties.

US decline

The reality is that America, the entity fighting the battle on behalf of Israel is withdrawing from the region because their plots have been defeated – from the ‘New Middle East project’, that sought to crush the resistance and their funding of ISIS, that sought to topple Damascus, all in order to engulf Iran and besiege it.

This has only led to a more united resistance front, that has never been so strong, hence the balance will continue to shift in favour of the Axis of resistance, and the proof of that is America’s continued shrinking presence in the region. 

Israelization of Arab nations signifies Israel’s defeat

This shift is a reality, whilst the West can’t shift the balance to their favour on the ground, so they resort to illusionary actions and fake talks, and the open normalisation of ties is an example of this.

The West is seeking to solve the issue with sound bombs, but the reality is that it has changed nothing. The reality is that America is leaving because they have no other choice, what is left for them is their gang actions of boycotts, embargoes, and sanctions – they really have nothing else to do or talk about.

Victory to the resistance

Indeed, the normalisation of ties we are witnessing cannot and should not be considered as a weakening factor for the Axis of resistance, the same Axis that managed to penetrate with its few numbers and resources into the whole region that was all situated in the American camp to begin with, and to thwart all the American plots of giving birth to a ‘New Middle East’, one after the other. 

Additionally, it is not the case that the Gulf States, Sudan, and Morocco were ever a part of the Axis of Resistance for the resistance to have ‘lost’ anything, and it is also not the case that Israel has gained any new allies in their fight against the Axis; the Gulf States were coordinating with Israel under the cover and it is now simply a case of exposure. 

Indeed, the governments of the UAE, Bahrain, and the others that followed are not active governments that pose real threats, they are just a ‘number’ from the many countries running policies that are not even in their hands and have always been puppets of their masters who direct them; hence they lack effectiveness. 

Whilst the normalisation of ties in some respects is empowering the West, through facilitating actions that would otherwise not be easily done under the cover, such as preparing the setup and facilitation for them to conduct security and military missions in the open, it is benefiting the Axis of resistance in some important and prominent respects.

That is, despite the collapsed and despaired state of the Arab countries, the people of Egypt and Jordan after all these years are predominantly against such normalisation, in addition to the Gulf States, Sudan, and Morocco, which isn’t different from the mainstream public opinion of the Arab World that are and will by default consider normalisation a red line and betrayal; indeed, this fact is not being understood by America and their puppets. 

This enhances the ability of the resistance to win the hearts and minds of the people of the region and facilitating relations with the people, as the resistance’s credibility surfaces, and its increased popularity and acceptance allows it to navigate with more tools and expand its capabilities in the region. 

The reality is that the masses of the people want those who walk the talk, who hold the flag up high, and it is becoming crystal clear who the real forces on the ground and who the traitors are, whilst pressure from the nation’s people against the corrupt doings of their government will mount onto a threat against them.

The inevitable end of Israel

The war in the region is between America and Iran, in which Israel is a small part of, and its existence is wholly threatened by Iran. Israel is fighting an enemy that is a lot greater than itself; even the threats they issue cannot be done unless under the cover and support of America.

With America’s shrinking presence in the region and the direction of compromise it is now seeking, it understands that unless Israel is dismantled, there will be constant tension in the region, as it is an entity rejected by the people of the surrounding neighbouring nations, particularly Iran. America has not reached the point where it will forego sustaining Israel, despite the fact it represents a heavy burden on America’s shoulders, however, the US will consider foregoing Israel when it becomes an obstruction to US interests in the region. This will occur when the stick (Israel) that is used to punish other entities needs another stick to provide it with protection, hence losing its functional role.

Israel is unable to sacrifice itself for America and wants America to fight the battle on its behalf. Its strategy at the current moment is to weaken its enemy; whilst before the enemy was such that it couldn’t be felt, the current strategy is one of simply hoping to survive. Indeed, such a strategy cannot lead to a victory; it is simply a matter of time before Israel will cease to exist.